--- old/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectionSet.cpp	2016-03-18 15:15:56.221385008 -0400
+++ new/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectionSet.cpp	2016-03-18 15:15:55.629351652 -0400
@@ -59,12 +59,14 @@
 
   _head(NULL),
   _bytes_used_before(0),
+  _bytes_live_before(0),
   _recorded_rs_lengths(0),
   // Incremental CSet attributes
   _inc_build_state(Inactive),
   _inc_head(NULL),
   _inc_tail(NULL),
   _inc_bytes_used_before(0),
+  _inc_bytes_live_before(0),
   _inc_recorded_rs_lengths(0),
   _inc_recorded_rs_lengths_diffs(0),
   _inc_predicted_elapsed_time_ms(0.0),
@@ -95,6 +97,7 @@
   hr->set_next_in_collection_set(_head);
   _head = hr;
   _bytes_used_before += hr->used();
+  _bytes_live_before += hr->live_bytes();
   size_t rs_length = hr->rem_set()->occupied();
   _recorded_rs_lengths += rs_length;
   _old_region_length += 1;
@@ -107,6 +110,7 @@
   _inc_head = NULL;
   _inc_tail = NULL;
   _inc_bytes_used_before = 0;
+  _inc_bytes_live_before = 0;
 
   _inc_recorded_rs_lengths = 0;
   _inc_recorded_rs_lengths_diffs = 0;
@@ -209,6 +213,7 @@
   _inc_recorded_rs_lengths += rs_length;
   _inc_predicted_elapsed_time_ms += region_elapsed_time_ms;
   _inc_bytes_used_before += used_bytes;
+  _inc_bytes_live_before += hr->live_bytes();
 
   assert(!hr->in_collection_set(), "invariant");
   _g1->register_young_region_with_cset(hr);
@@ -311,6 +316,7 @@
 
   _head = _inc_head;
   _bytes_used_before = _inc_bytes_used_before;
+  _bytes_live_before = _inc_bytes_live_before;
   time_remaining_ms = MAX2(time_remaining_ms - _inc_predicted_elapsed_time_ms, 0.0);
 
   log_trace(gc, ergo, cset)("Add young regions to CSet. eden: %u regions, survivors: %u regions, predicted young region time: %1.2fms, target pause time: %1.2fms",
@@ -334,6 +340,7 @@
     cset_chooser()->verify();
     const uint min_old_cset_length = _policy->calc_min_old_cset_length();
     const uint max_old_cset_length = _policy->calc_max_old_cset_length();
+    const size_t estimated_available_bytes = _policy->available_bytes_estimate();
 
     uint expensive_region_num = 0;
     bool check_time_remaining = _policy->adaptive_young_list_length();
@@ -362,6 +369,12 @@
         break;
       }
 
+      // Stop adding regions if the live bytes (according to the last marking)
+      // added so far would exceed the estimated free bytes.
+      if ((_bytes_live_before + hr->live_bytes()) > estimated_available_bytes) {
+	break;
+      }
+
       double predicted_time_ms = predict_region_elapsed_time_ms(hr);
       if (check_time_remaining) {
         if (predicted_time_ms > time_remaining_ms) {
@@ -402,6 +415,8 @@
     }
     if (hr == NULL) {
       log_debug(gc, ergo, cset)("Finish adding old regions to CSet (candidate old regions not available)");
+    } else if ((_bytes_live_before + hr->live_bytes()) > estimated_available_bytes) {
+      log_debug(gc, ergo, cset)("Finish adding old regions to CSet (reached estimated free space limit)");
     }
 
     if (expensive_region_num > 0) {
--- old/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectionSet.hpp	2016-03-18 15:15:58.441510096 -0400
+++ new/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectionSet.hpp	2016-03-18 15:15:57.557460286 -0400
@@ -57,6 +57,9 @@
   // (if any) to the collection set.
   size_t _bytes_used_before;
 
+  // The sum of live bytes in the collection set, set as described above.
+  size_t _bytes_live_before;
+
   size_t _recorded_rs_lengths;
 
   // The associated information that is maintained while the incremental
@@ -81,6 +84,9 @@
   // an evacuation pause.
   size_t _inc_bytes_used_before;
 
+  // The number of live bytes in the incrementally built collection set.
+  size_t _inc_bytes_live_before;
+
   // The RSet lengths recorded for regions in the CSet. It is updated
   // by the thread that adds a new region to the CSet. We assume that
   // only one thread can be allocating a new CSet region (currently,
@@ -173,6 +179,10 @@
     _bytes_used_before = 0;
   }
 
+  void reset_bytes_live_before() {
+    _bytes_live_before = 0;
+  }
+
   // Choose a new collection set.  Marks the chosen regions as being
   // "in_collection_set", and links them together.  The head and number of
   // the collection set are available via access methods.
--- old/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectorPolicy.cpp	2016-03-18 15:16:00.445623013 -0400
+++ new/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectorPolicy.cpp	2016-03-18 15:15:59.845589205 -0400
@@ -326,12 +326,7 @@
   // When copying, we will likely need more bytes free than is live in the region.
   // Add some safety margin to factor in the confidence of our guess, and the
   // natural expected waste.
-  // (100.0 / G1ConfidencePercent) is a scale factor that expresses the uncertainty
-  // of the calculation: the lower the confidence, the more headroom.
-  // (100 + TargetPLABWastePct) represents the increase in expected bytes during
-  // copying due to anticipated waste in the PLABs.
-  double safety_factor = (100.0 / G1ConfidencePercent) * (100 + TargetPLABWastePct) / 100.0;
-  size_t expected_bytes_to_copy = (size_t)(safety_factor * bytes_to_copy);
+  size_t expected_bytes_to_copy = (size_t)(bytes_to_copy * safety_factor());
 
   if (expected_bytes_to_copy > free_bytes) {
     // end condition 3: out-of-space
@@ -697,6 +692,7 @@
   _pending_cards = _g1->pending_card_num();
 
   _collection_set->reset_bytes_used_before();
+  _collection_set->reset_bytes_live_before();
   _bytes_copied_during_gc = 0;
 
   collector_state()->set_last_gc_was_young(false);
@@ -1728,6 +1724,15 @@
   return (uint) result;
 }
 
+size_t G1CollectorPolicy::available_bytes_estimate() {
+  size_t estimated_available_bytes = 0;
+  if (_free_regions_at_end_of_collection > _reserve_regions) {
+    uint available_regions = _free_regions_at_end_of_collection - _reserve_regions;
+    estimated_available_bytes = (size_t)((available_regions * HeapRegion::GrainBytes) / safety_factor());
+  }
+  return estimated_available_bytes;
+}
+
 void G1CollectorPolicy::finalize_collection_set(double target_pause_time_ms) {
   double time_remaining_ms = _collection_set->finalize_young_part(target_pause_time_ms);
   _collection_set->finalize_old_part(time_remaining_ms);
--- old/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectorPolicy.hpp	2016-03-18 15:16:02.317728492 -0400
+++ new/src/share/vm/gc/g1/g1CollectorPolicy.hpp	2016-03-18 15:16:01.717694685 -0400
@@ -254,6 +254,21 @@
 
   double accum_yg_surv_rate_pred(int age) const;
 
+  // When copying, we will likely need more bytes free than is live in the region.
+  // Add some safety margin to factor in the confidence of our guess, and the
+  // natural expected waste.
+  // (100.0 / G1ConfidencePercent) is a scale factor that expresses the uncertainty
+  // of the calculation: the lower the confidence, the more headroom.
+  // (100 + TargetPLABWastePct) represents the increase in expected bytes during
+  // copying due to anticipated waste in the PLABs.
+  double safety_factor() const {
+    return (100.0 / G1ConfidencePercent) * (100 + TargetPLABWastePct) / 100.0;
+  }
+
+  // Returns an estimate of the available bytes at end of collection, adjusted by
+  // the safety factor.
+  size_t available_bytes_estimate();
+
 protected:
   G1CollectionSet* _collection_set;
   virtual double average_time_ms(G1GCPhaseTimes::GCParPhases phase) const;